Insect-borne diseases—such as malaria, dengue, West Nile and the newly
emerging chikungunya—infect a billion people every year; more than a million
die each year and many more are disabled. The effects of climate change,
according to Edwin Michael, professor of biological sciences and member of the
Eck Institute for Global Health at the University of Notre Dame, mean these
deadly diseases are no longer reserved for the developing world.
Michael is working with an international team of
researchers to project how climate change will affect mosquitoes, flies and
ticks that carry diseases afflicting humans. Recently published in a special
issue of Philosophical Transactions B, a peer-reviewed publication of The Royal
Society, the collective research from this international consortium delivers
the bad news that insect-borne diseases are emerging and, in some regions,
having a resurgence. The research highlights and points to the critical need to
take into account the interactive, contributory roles that climate,
epidemiological, environmental and socioeconomic factors play in diseasetransmission when forecasting the
future impact of these diseases around the globe.
According to Michael, "There
is no easy fix, and the complex problem is getting worse. Different vectors
respond differently to changing weather and climate patterns. Human societies
also demonstrate variable vulnerability to this change. We, however, now have
numerous resources including the mathematical models we have developed as tools
to predict, assess risk and map how different vectors and disease patterns are
likely to alter due to changing climates."
The spread into regions including
Europe and the United States will cause and force significant public health interventions to address this emerging global
problem.
"The results of this research
will have real and profound impacts on the mitigation of the spread of
mosquito-borne diseases that is currently being exacerbated by climate
change," said Robert J. Bernhard, vice president for research at the
University of Notre Dame. "I applaud Edwin Michael and his international
colleagues for taking on this challenge and look forward to the positive, real-world
outcomes of their research."
Mosquitoes are known to be very
sensitive to temperature changes and rainfall. Researchers agree that climate
changes will affect many, if not all, of these diseases. According to Michael's
collaborator, Paul Parham, University of Liverpool, the next step includes
determining "the extent to which climate impacts will be important
compared to many other factors that contribute to the risk of becoming infected
in certain regions."
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